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The Hot Stove Effect: Why AI Learns to Be a Pessimist

5 Apr 2025

Why learning algorithms are pessimistic: Hot Stove Effect shows negativity bias persists in Bayesian & sampling-based learning.

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Ellipsoid Algorithms as a Tool Against Predictable Opponents

24 Jan 2025

Discover strategies to beat Follow-the-Leader and Limited History opponents in zero-sum games using algorithms like ellipsoid for prediction and counterplay.

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Understanding Bias-Driven Opponent Models in Competitive Gameplay

24 Jan 2025

Learn about behavioral biases in opponents during zero-sum games, including strategies like Myopic Best Responder, Gambler's Fallacy, and more.

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Ways to Counter Limited-History Opponents with Algorithmic Tools

24 Jan 2025

Algorithm 7 leverages ellipsoid prediction to beat the Limited-History Follow-the-Leader opponent in zero-sum games, minimizing losses to O(n^4 log(nr)+nr).

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Future Directions for Exploiting Behavioral Biases in Games

24 Jan 2025

Future work includes exploring exploitability in probabilistic strategies, regret-minimizing opponents, and complex game structures like extensive-form games.

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Broader Insights into Exploitable Strategies in Zero-Sum Games

24 Jan 2025

Generalizing strategies for behaviorally-biased opponents, this section identifies conditions for exploiting deterministic strategies to win consistently.

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How Behavioral Biases Shape Gameplay Without Payoff Visibility

24 Jan 2025

Explore how behavioral biases in opponents can be exploited to win nearly every round in symmetric, zero-sum games, even with minimal information.

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Methods for Decoding Opponent Actions and Optimizing Responses

24 Jan 2025

Explore predicting opponents' actions and learning best responses in zero-sum games. Learn why consistent matrices aren't enough to exploit behavioral biases.

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The Key to Defeating Win-Stay, Lose-Shift Opponent Variants

24 Jan 2025

Discover strategies to beat the Win-Stay, Lose-Shift opponent variants in zero-sum games, exploiting Tie-Shift and Tie-Stay behaviors for consistent wins.